Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1922.030589 2097.127572 2275.913750 2471.839730 2680.225842 2894.962349 3132.682945
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1630.711908 1886.319003 2158.486150 2468.753427 2811.526959 3177.525735 3596.737326
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1427.090590 1726.104297 2054.715292 2440.385061 2878.289484 3357.750619 3920.037734
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1303.958212 1637.112771 2012.947193 2464.595120 2988.764345 3574.131403 4273.315714
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1190.311136 1546.426569 1957.827107 2462.791162 3060.270750 3739.096677 4562.813511
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1121.364459 1501.361765 1949.554374 2509.796862 3183.667321 3960.457410 4915.528137
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1029.197965 1420.513657 1891.759474 2491.549337 3224.694926 4081.769730 5148.959730
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 984.661710 1394.973714 1897.932251 2547.892180 3353.094538 4305.394835 5503.508587
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 926.536953 1347.833064 1873.561134 2563.321786 3429.231978 4465.042443 5781.430789
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 868.544884 1296.946160 1840.992518 2565.372724 3486.417337 4600.208856 6029.305914
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 781.663637 1202.462031 1747.539600 2485.330930 3436.767637 4601.111955 6110.738739
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 764.704846 1201.396442 1774.987998 2560.314684 3582.968749 4844.733841 6492.335763
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 735.258650 1182.219255 1778.312694 2604.655826 3692.084198 5045.565155 6826.365873
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 690.146744 1138.564491 1746.724192 2601.311246 3738.774404 5167.930550 7063.602980
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 639.534257 1084.012428 1697.509298 2571.800141 3749.172418 5242.761208 7240.262979
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 611.295091 1060.408664 1689.622685 2596.985942 3830.886424 5408.726458 7533.287659
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 576.389369 1024.838985 1663.135556 2595.109362 3875.450731 5526.278813 7764.753957
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 559.689133 1015.836582 1673.656125 2644.003102 3988.197501 5733.044475 8112.458332
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 523.848421 975.282785 1636.876311 2625.023697 4007.733039 5817.161614 8301.473973
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 512.711092 972.786987 1655.126908 2683.622109 4133.401081 6041.774229 8674.839174
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 490.407289 951.218971 1644.153904 2699.667232 4200.090181 6188.384672 8947.057048
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 465.757282 924.480796 1624.248469 2701.799916 4246.803411 6308.191624 9184.522172
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 420.957676 861.878591 1547.507075 2618.555576 4171.712804 6262.529836 9201.483521